Match Info

League One - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.70	2.37
	2.55	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.72	3.66	2.52
	2.6	3.65	2.47	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.45
	2.6	3.56	2.44	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	2.46 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
35.7%

Draw
26.2%

Luton Town
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.3%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Wycombe Wanderers aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hazard C. (G) 17. Casey D. 27. Cook S. 26. Taylor C. 4. Scowen J. 22. Parker S. 5. Morley A. 20. Henderson E. 3. Harvie D. (C) 44. Onyedinma F. 15. Wareham J.	1. Shea J. (G) 2. Odoffin H. 5. Andersen M. 6. Johnston G. 3. Naismith K. (C) 8. Walsh L. 17. Mendel-Idowu T. 18. Clark J. 10. Donley J. 45. Palmer K. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
8. Boyd-Munce C. 2. Grimmer J. 10. Leahy L. 29. Mothersille M. 19. Tezgel E. 33. Wildsmith J. (G) 12. Woodrow C.	44. Cole D. 22. Fox H. 12. Johnson J. 25. Jones I. 24. Keeley J. (G) 11. Lawrence E. 7. Richards J.
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Wilshere J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Donley J. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
40', Naismith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Henderson E. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
46', Parker S. ↓, Grimmer J. ↑,
46', Naismith K. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
46', 0 - 3, Wells N. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
57', Cook S. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
57', Scowen J. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
58', Johnston G. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
71', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
71', Palmer K. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
76', Wareham J. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
76', Walsh L. 🟨,
83', Mendel-Idowu T. ↓, Lawrence E. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Cole D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Grimmer J. ⚽, Morley A. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 0.

Wycombe is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Luton have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Luton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Hamstring Injury) Morris S. (Hamstring Injury) Sandal S. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Luton: Benagr B. (Injury).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:30 (averaging 0.9:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wycombe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Luton	8	3	2	3	16:15	1	11
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.19%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Luton Town - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	4:1 ✺
English League One
26.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Chelsea U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWW
- Luton Town
English EFL Trophy
03.10.26	Colchester United - Luton Town	1:2 penalties ✺
22.09.26	Luton Town - Ipswich Town U21	6:0 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Luton Town - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Stevenage Borough - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.03.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2
26.12.25	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0
English League Championship
10.04.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:3
03.10.20	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
English League One
09.02.19	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0
English FA Cup
10.11.18	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
English League One
01.09.18	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:1

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