Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Shabana		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.72	2.28
	3.25	2.75	2.37	Watch
	3.25	2.63	2.3
	3.09	3.09	2.31
	3.14	2.71	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
28.4%

Draw
32.6%

Gor Mahia
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

32%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

32.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Shabana - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gor Mahia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Shabana - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTW
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
06.01.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi United - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bandari - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
04.05.25	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:1
11.12.24	Gor Mahia - Shabana	1:1
11.05.24	Gor Mahia - Shabana	1:0
01.11.23	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:1

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