Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Kariobangi Sharks		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	2.54	2.54	3.26	Watch
	2.6	2.5	2.9
	2.37	2.89	3.2
	2.28	2.83	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariobangi Sharks
37.1%

Draw
33.8%

Mathare United
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Kariobangi Sharks has had a series of away games.

Recently, Mathare United has had a series of home games.

Kariobangi Sharks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
15.02.26	Kenya CB - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bandari - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTLT
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
14.02.26	Mathare United - Tusker	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Mathare United - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2
15.03.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	3:1
12.01.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
25.04.23	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2
15.02.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:2
09.03.22	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1
31.10.21	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:6

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