Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Kariobangi Sharks		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.92	2.58
	2.75	2.83	2.58
	2.68	3.06	2.54	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.6
	2.68	2.99	2.68
	2.62	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.76)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariobangi Sharks
34.1%

Draw
30.8%

Ulinzi Stars
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kariobangi Sharks - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Aroko H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 1.

Recent performances by Kariobangi Sharks have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulinzi Stars is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulinzi Stars	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
24.01.26	Bandari - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:4 ✺
22.12.25	Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLT
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
25.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Muranga Seal	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
18.12.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
24.09.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
19.02.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
18.01.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Ulinzi Stars	0:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
31.03.24	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2
Kenyan Premier League
07.10.23	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0
16.04.23	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0
27.11.22	Kariobangi Sharks - Ulinzi Stars	3:2

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