Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.05	4.95
	1.65	3.30	5.41	Watch
	1.73	3.04	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	5.17 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
53.4%

Draw
29%

Posta Rangers
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

28.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

26.7%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ouma R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Juma D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 1.

Homeboyz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Posta Rangers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Homeboyz is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWW
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
11.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
18.05.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:1
02.11.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	1:1
05.04.23	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2
04.02.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	0:1
05.03.22	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:3
24.10.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0

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