Match Info

3rd Division - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	ASA Aarhus		Næsby

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.60	1.85
	3.1	3.45	1.99
	3.45	3.85	1.86	Watch
	3.68	3.62	1.8
	3.34	3.97	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.87)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASA Aarhus
27.1%

Draw
24.6%

Næsby
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

25.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASA Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Næsby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASA Aarhus than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ASA Aarhus - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Næsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
6	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Næsby - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASA Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
05.09.26	Sundby - ASA Aarhus	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Holstebro	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	BK Frem - ASA Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
19.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Randers FC	0:4 ✺
Danish 3 Division
15.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Vanløse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLW
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Holbæk - Næsby	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ishøj IF - Næsby	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vanløse - Næsby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL

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