Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	KuPS TV
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	KuPS Kuopio		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.9	1.75
	3.55	3.95	1.88	Watch
	3.94	4.1	1.83
	13.46	5.60	1.23	Watch
	4	3.7	1.7
	4.13	3.97	1.84	Watch
	5.5	3.81	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (5.3)	4.07 ↑ (3.91)	1.7 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
18.3%

Draw
24%

Midtjylland
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

22.8%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.3%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34%	14.9%	51.1%

KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 15 - 34.9%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 23 - 53.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 38.6% – 68.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - KuPS (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 24. Armah B. 23. Lotjonen A. 33. Hamalainen T. 22. Konate P. 7. Voutilainen J. 14. Pasanen S. 10. Arifi D. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 11. Sadiku A.	16. Olafsson E. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 6. Erlic M. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 29. Paulinho 14. Chilufya E. 20. Byskov V. 80. Dani Silva 58. Simsir A. 74. Junior Brumado 21. Castillo D.
Substitutes
15. Cisse I. 12. Hakala A. (G) 13. Oksanen J. 9. Parzyszek P. 4. Ricardo P. 34. Ruoppi O. 6. Savolainen S. 28. Seidu S. 20. Toure M.	55. Bak V. 19. Bravo P. 4. Diao O. 33. Djabi A. 90. Etim F. 7. Franculino 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 11. Osorio D. 31. Selin L. (G)
Coaches
Wiss J.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lotjonen A. 🟥,
43', Pennanen P. ↓, Ricardo P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Castillo D. ↓, Franculino ↑,
46', Voutilainen J. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
46', Arifi D. ↓, Oksanen J. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Junior Brumado (Pen),
54', 0 - 2, Simsir A. ⚽, Chilufya E. (A),
65', Junior Brumado ↓, Etim F. ↑,
65', Simsir A. ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
65', Bech Sorensen M. ↓, Diao O. ↑,
67', Pasanen S. ↓, Seidu S. ↑,
73', Gabriel A. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
77', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.

KuPS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Midtjylland is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Midtjylland is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, KuPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.08.25	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio	4:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - RFS	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.25	KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
24.08.25	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio	4:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
17.08.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredrikstad	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
10.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredericia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio	4:0

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