Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.5
	1.46	4.33	5.5
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.63	7.11
	1.46	4.31	6.77	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	4.54	6.56	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	4.41 ↑ (4.4)	6.56 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
64.7%

Draw
21.1%

Raufoss
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Aalesunds - Raufoss Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Raufoss (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Raufoss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 3. Gudmundsson O. 2. Andresen M. 15. Gregersen J. 6. Hammer H. 66. Seehusen J. 7. Nesso K. 9. Ngongo P. (C) 10. Braga C.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 14. Lynum J. 2. Engebakken T. 16. Sveen O. (C) 23. Selnaes J. S. 24. Aanesland M. 20. Ampofo J. 8. Nelson R.
Substitutes
45. Aukland P. 29. Boe J. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H. 27. Reed H. M.	19. Aarflot E. 21. Agyeman Y. 10. Badjie K. 28. Jensen P. (G) 13. Nihorimbere A. 18. Somesi K. 29. Sorum E.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Dent T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Braga C. ⚽, Gregersen J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Hammer H. (Pen),
54', 2 - 1, Ampofo J. ⚽, Nelson R. (A),
59', Hansen A. 🟨,
60', Gregersen J. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
60', Andresen M. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
63', Aanesland M. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
64', Engebakken T. ↓, Somesi K. ↑,
65', Hammer H. 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, Hammer H. ⚽,
82', Gudmundsson O. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
88', Fors V. ↓, Sorum E. ↑,
88', Sveen O. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
90', Ampofo J. ↓, Aarflot E. ↑,
90+2', Ngongo P. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
90+2', Braga C. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 3.

Aalesunds is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Raufoss has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Aalesunds is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 2.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.25	Åsane - Aalesunds	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4 ✺
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWT
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.25	Raufoss - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Strømmen - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Raufoss - Åsane	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Raufoss - Moss	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.24	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:2
27.04.24	Aalesunds - Raufoss	1:4
28.08.21	Aalesunds - Raufoss	4:2
19.05.21	Raufoss - Aalesunds	4:2
06.10.19	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1
23.06.19	Raufoss - Aalesunds	2:1

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