Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Hødd

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	7
	1.32	4.75	8.25
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.8	8.36
	1.39	4.48	8.06	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8.5
	1.37	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.38	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)	4.7 ↑ (4.43)	8.06 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
68.5%

Draw
19.9%

Hødd
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Aalesunds - Hødd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 2. Andresen M. 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 4. Haram S. 7. Nesso K. 66. Seehusen J. 6. Hammer H. 15. Gregersen J. 10. Braga C. 9. Ngongo P. (C)	25. Ulla M. (G) 3. Hanssen S. 4. Blikstad E. 5. Mulac M. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 6. Urnes H. 14. Mikhail M. 10. Skotheim I. 9. Myrlid E. 18. Visted O.
Substitutes
29. Boe J. 3. Gudmundsson O. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H. 27. Reed H. M.	22. Brandal D. 15. Elveseter V. H. 23. Gjerde F. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 19. Holte M. 26. Lervik P. (G) 11. Skjold A.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Boe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Haram S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Ngongo P. ⚽, Haram S. (A),
49', Seehusen J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Seehusen J. ⚽,
58', Seehusen J. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
58', Braga C. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
58', Gregersen J. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
73', Johansen T. ↓, Brandal D. ↑,
73', Mikhail M. ↓, Gjerde F. ↑,
76', Andresen M. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
82', Myrlid E. ↓, Holte M. ↑,
82', Kallevag T. ↓, Skjold A. ↑,
82', Skotheim I. ↓, Hjelmeseth R. ↑,
86', Mulac M. 🟨,
90+3', Ngongo P. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 3.

Aalesunds is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hødd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aalesunds is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Aalesunds will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 3.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian NM Cup
12.05.25	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Åsane - Aalesunds	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWT
- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.25	Hødd - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Lyn - Hødd	0:1 ✺
29.04.25	Hødd - Ranheim	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Grorud - Hødd	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Start - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Hødd - Aalesunds	1:0 ET
22.06.22	Hødd - Aalesunds	0:3
Club Friendly
11.03.22	Hødd - Aalesunds	1:4
03.02.22	Aalesunds - Hødd	4:1
13.06.21	Hødd - Aalesunds	2:0
14.02.20	Aalesunds - Hødd	4:2
27.01.17	Aalesunds - Hødd	4:0

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