Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Lillestrøm SK		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.55	4.35	5.15	Watch
	1.54	4.43	5.56
	1.19	6.68	12.16	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.55	4.35	5.36	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.61 ↓ (4.65)	6.13 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
63.7%

Draw
20.7%

Aalesunds
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 7. Alperud L. 10. Olsen T. 15. Drammeh S.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 3. Gudmundsson O. 5. Kjelsen A. 23. Froysa E. 2. Andresen M. 8. Melland H. 6. Hammer H. 21. Christensen M. 7. Nesso K. 19. Heiselberg F. 9. Ngongo P. (C)
Substitutes
23. Asen G. 33. Diop M. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 25. Neto L. 26. Paintsil Y. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H.	45. Aukland P. 29. Boe J. 4. Haram S. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 17. Myrlid E. 16. Orsahl J.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Drammeh S. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
9', Hedenstad M. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Kitolano E. ⚽, Ranger L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', Gudmundsson O. 🟨,
52', Olsen T. (Pen),
52', 3 - 0, Olsen T. ⚽,
60', Elkaer F. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
61', Alperud L. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
61', Hammer H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
61', Froysa E. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
61', Andresen M. ↓, Orsahl J. ↑,
67', Orsahl J. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson O. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
77', Ngongo P. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
83', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
83', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Kitolano E. ⚽, Gabrielsen R. (A),
88', Hoff V. ↓, Asen G. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 2.

Lillestrøm is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aalesunds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lillestrøm is considered a favorite.

We predict that Lillestrøm will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 1.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Egersund - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Åsane - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Start - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Aalesunds - Moss	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.09.23	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
19.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	5:1
06.11.22	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.22	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	2:0
30.10.17	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	4:0

Upcoming Matches