Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	SRF


	Aarau		Basel

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57
	4.2	3.9	1.61
	5	4.25	1.51
	4.4	4.1	1.6
	4.5	4	1.57
	4.95	4.25	1.58	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (4.98)	4.17 ↓ (4.26)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
19.8%

Draw
22.1%

Basel
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

21.5%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Aarau - Basel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Aarau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basel is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
09.09.22	Schaffhausen - Aarau	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Aarau - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy	3:3 ✺
12.08.22	Bellinzona - Aarau	0:4 ✺
05.08.22	Thun - Aarau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT
- FC Basel
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Žalgiris - Basel	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.09.22	Basel - Grasshoppers	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Basel - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.09.22	Sion - Basel	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Zürich - Basel	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.21	Basel - Aarau	3:3
13.01.21	Aarau - Basel	0:5
11.01.19	Basel - Aarau	2:0
13.07.18	Basel - Aarau	1:4
Swiss Super League
20.05.15	Aarau - Basel	2:1
04.04.15	Basel - Aarau	6:0
23.11.14	Basel - Aarau	3:0

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