Match Info

Premiership - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	Red TV
United-kingdom	St Mirren TV


	Aberdeen		St. Mirren

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.8	4.33
	1.77	3.75	4.20
	1.75	3.6	4.25	Watch
	1.83	3.87	4.47
	1.79	3.82	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4.4
	1.79	3.7	4.18	Watch
	1.82	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	4.3 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
53%

Draw
25%

St. Mirren
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Aberdeen - St. Mirren Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Aberdeen (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1.

Aberdeen has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

St. Mirren has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

St. Mirren could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Aberdeen has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Aberdeen is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Aberdeen: Tobers K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for St. Mirren: Ayunga J. (Knee Injury) Baccus K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dijksteel M. (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for St. Mirren: King R. (Inactive) Richardson J. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aberdeen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 18:17 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Mirren	8	3	1	4	8:14	-6	10
8	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	7:9	-2	8

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Aberdeen: 0.33% St. Mirren: 0.33%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
11.10.26	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.09.26	Hibernian - Aberdeen	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	0:4 ✺
Scottish League Cup
12.09.26	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW
- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
10.10.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	St. Mirren - Dundee United	0:3 ✺
09.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	St. Mirren - Celtic	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Kilmarnock - St. Mirren	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
12.05.26	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	0:2
04.04.26	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:0
03.12.25	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	3:3
18.10.25	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	0:1
03.05.25	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	1:0
25.01.25	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	0:3
23.11.24	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:1

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