Match Info

Cymru South - Round 24

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Baglan Dragons		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.05	5.5
	1.49	4.26	5.19
	1.53	4.15	5.76	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.44	4.25	5.81
	1.5	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)	4.04 ↑ (3.99)	5.54 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
61.2%

Draw
22.4%

Cwmbran Celtic
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baglan Dragons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

Cwmbran Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of away games.

In this match, Baglan Dragons is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
20.03.26	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
06.03.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.26	Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ynyshir Albions	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
31.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:1
29.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:2
07.09.24	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3
09.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	1:1
28.08.23	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3

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