Match Info

Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Baglan Dragons		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	4.80	3.85	1.52
	4.80	4.25	1.54
	5.13	4.25	1.56	Watch
	4.75	4.20	1.52
	5.23	4.10	1.50
	4.70	3.95	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (3.92)	4.1 ↑ (3.88)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
18.5%

Draw
22.1%

Caerau Ely
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

23.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caerau Ely's recent form is better than expected.

Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 2.

In recent matches, Caerau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Caerau is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTTL
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
21.08.26	Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea	1:5 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Caerau Ely - Croesyceiliog	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	0:5
17.09.25	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1
11.01.25	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	2:1
01.11.24	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1
20.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	2:0
06.10.23	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	3:0

Upcoming Matches