Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Afan Lido		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.68
	3.95	3.75	1.76
	3.57	2.73	2.33	Watch
	4.36	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.77)	3.5 ↓ (3.57)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
23.3%

Draw
26.6%

Baglan Dragons
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

25.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baglan Dragons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baglan Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Reed L. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Logan N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of home games.

In this match, Baglan Dragons is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
04.10.25	Trefelin - Afan Lido	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Afan Lido - Cardiff Draconians	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLLW
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cambrian United	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	1:1
04.10.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:3
12.01.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:2
21.10.23	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	0:1
Welsh League Cup
21.07.23	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	1:3

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