Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Newport City		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.75	4.30
	1.56	4.20	4.70
	1.56	4.25	5.13	Watch
	1.52	4.20	4.75
	1.58	4.24	4.91
	1.53	3.85	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.9)	4.08 ↑ (3.72)	4.78 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
58.6%

Draw
22.4%

Baglan Dragons
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport City's performance.

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baglan Dragons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Newport City - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In this match, Newport City is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Llanelli - Newport City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
26.06.26	Cambrian United - Newport City	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Newport City - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.03.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:2
17.08.25	Baglan Dragons - Newport City	3:3
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0
Welsh Cymru South
25.03.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:0
09.11.24	Baglan Dragons - Newport City	2:2

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