Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Caernarfon Town		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.3	5.25	6.68
	1.24	5.8	8.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	5.18 ↑ (4.75)	6.64 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
68.7%

Draw
17.6%

Aberystwyth Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

18.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gosset D. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, Evans O. ⚽,
61', 5 - 0, Trialist ⚽,
76', 6 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
79', 7 - 0, Trialist ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caernarfon is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.25	Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 penalties ✺
26.04.25	Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United	5:2 ✺
19.04.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Aberystwyth Town
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	5:1 ✺
08.07.25	Guilsfield - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Aberystwyth Town - Kerry	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.25	Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Newtown - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
21.12.24	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	3:1
15.10.24	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:4
17.10.23	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	3:0
09.09.23	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	2:4
22.04.23	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	3:2
17.03.23	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
21.01.23	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	2:1

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