Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.15	3.5
	1.99	3.41	3.92
	1.95	3.43	3.76	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.91	3.24	3.72
	1.9	3.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.71 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
47.3%

Draw
28.1%

Vitoria Guimarães B
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Académica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 5. Silva L. (C) 93. Souza B. 17. Marcos Paulo 14. Triana C. 21. Candeias D.	99. Guilherme (G) 96. Rodrigo Silva 76. Alcobia 82. Dias F. 95. Vunge J. 32. Tepe M. 46. Nunes H. (C) 80. Rocha R. 79. Carvalho D. 73. Miguel Vaz 87. Paula G.
Substitutes
2. Baixinho M. 28. Cascavel 18. Cuba 8. Jesus P. 49. Joao Pedro 1. Macedo N. (G) 20. Sinisterra J. 7. Tiago Andre 19. Xavier	67. Bruma 97. Carreira D. 60. Deivid M. 81. Fernandes J. (G) 57. Martins J. 55. Rebelo D. 93. Rika 83. Sampaio J. 56. Verdi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Paula G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vunge J. ↓, Rika ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Silva L. ⚽,
65', Silva G. 🟨,
66', Tepe M. ↓, Bruma ↑,
71', Triana C. ↓, Cascavel ↑,
71', Candeias D. ↓, Cuba ↑,
78', Carvalho D. ↓, Carreira D. ↑,
78', Miguel Vaz ↓, Martins J. ↑,
86', Alcobia 🟨,
89', Souza B. ↓, Xavier ↑,
90', Nunes H. 🟨,
90', Kaka ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
90+3', Marcos Paulo ↓, Baixinho M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.

Académica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Guimarães B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Académica might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
24.01.26	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Académica Coimbra - Amora	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWW
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.19	Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1
26.08.18	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	0:0
17.02.18	Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
09.09.17	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	0:3
06.05.17	Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
19.12.16	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	2:1

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