Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sanjoanense		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.25	2.22
	3.31	3.36	2.22
	2.9	3.42	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.93	3.66	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
30.7%

Draw
27.6%

Vitoria Guimarães B
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Duarte A. (G) 23. Collazos J. 16. Gomes V. 10. Kiko Felix 17. Maicol J. 24. Maio F. 2. Martins J. 13. Pinheiro Edu 33. Sa G. 6. Serra A. 30. Talles Wander	99. Guilherme (G) 82. Dias F. 14. Duarte R. 73. Miguel Vaz 88. Nogueira M. 46. Nunes H. 75. Oliveira A. 80. Rocha R. 96. Rodrigo Silva 28. Thiago Balieiro 50. Zeega

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Duarte R. ⚽, Miguel Vaz (A),
38', Zeega 🟨,
41', 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Miguel Vaz ⚽, Nunes H. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Pinheiro Edu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 🟨,
57', Collazos J. ↓, Couto J. ↑,
57', Maicol J. ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Miguel Vaz ⚽, Nunes H. (A),
73', Zeega ↓, Tepe M. ↑,
73', Duarte R. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
80', Nogueira M. 🟨,
81', Maio F. ↓, Nando ↑,
81', Kiko Felix ↓, Elliot ↑,
85', Oliveira A. ↓, Alcobia ↑,
85', Nogueira M. ↓, Peixoto R. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Cezar F. ⚽,
90', Sa G. ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
90+1', Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 🟨,
90+4', Paula G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )

Sanjoanense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Guimarães B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guimarães B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Guimarães B will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
17.01.26	Varzim - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - Trofense	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	1:0
07.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	0:1
27.08.22	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1
23.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	3:3
03.10.21	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1

Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide