Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.71	4.98	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.44	4.89
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	3.44 ↓ (3.63)	4.79 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Amora
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Académica Coimbra - Amora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macedo N. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 7. Tiago Andre 20. Sinisterra J. 28. Cascavel 5. Silva L. (C) 17. Marcos Paulo 14. Triana C. 93. Souza B.	95. Diego (G) 13. Lopes M. 23. Marques F. 25. Duque T. (C) 4. Marlom Oliveira 28. Cruz H. 7. Lopes M. 8. Antunes M. 17. Furtado E. 9. Oliveira J. 71. Semedo D.
Substitutes
98. Alves C. (G) 26. Augusto T. 2. Baixinho M. 9. Barbosa N. 21. Candeias D. 18. Cuba 12. Gabriel Passos 23. Karseladze J. 8. Pereira F.	19. Barros G. 3. Correia T. 22. Marques J. 24. Miguel I. (G) 29. Pedro B. d. R. 6. Renzo Trotta 16. Teixeira P. 10. Toni 37. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽, Farias E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Marques F. ↓, Teixeira P. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Sinisterra J. ⚽,
68', Triana C. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
68', Teixeira R. ↓, Baixinho M. ↑,
69', Furtado E. ↓, Toni ↑,
69', Antunes M. ↓, Pedro B. d. R. ↑,
69', Lopes M. 🟨,
73', Cascavel ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
77', Cruz H. ↓, Wendel ↑,
77', Lopes M. ↓, Barros G. ↑,
85', Barros G. 🟨,
90+2', Farias E. ↓, Karseladze J. ↑,
90+2', Silva L. ↓, Augusto T. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Académica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Amora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Académica is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
14.01.26	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTT
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Belenenses - Amora	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Amora - Mafra	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	União de Santarém - Amora	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Amora - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	Amora - Académica Coimbra	3:3
02.12.23	Amora - Académica Coimbra	0:2
20.08.23	Académica Coimbra - Amora	1:1
07.01.23	Amora - Académica Coimbra	3:4
27.08.22	Académica Coimbra - Amora	1:0

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