Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Académico de Viseu		Arouca

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.5	2.85	2.15
	3.45	2.9	2.2
	3.68	3.04	2.31
	3.5	2.88	2.3
	3.46	2.99	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.26)	2.93 ↓ (2.97)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
26.7%

Draw
31.6%

Arouca
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

31.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académico de Viseu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arouca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Académico de Viseu - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).

Viseu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arouca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viseu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arouca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viseu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.21	Estoril Praia - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
07.02.21	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.21	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
13.02.21	Arouca - Varzim	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Leixões - Arouca	0:1 ✺
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Chaves - Arouca	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Arouca - Mafra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.09.20	Arouca - Académico de Viseu	1:1
03.02.19	Arouca - Académico de Viseu	2:0
26.08.18	Académico de Viseu - Arouca	3:2
04.02.18	Académico de Viseu - Arouca	1:3
23.08.17	Arouca - Académico de Viseu	0:0

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