Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Argyrou A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Académico de Viseu		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.15	3	3.35
	2.24	3.25	3.05
	2.32	3.26	3.39
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.24	3.14	3.22
	2.23	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.11)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
41.6%

Draw
29.2%

Estrela da Amadora
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Estrela will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Viseu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Viseu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Viseu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.23	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Farense	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Moreirense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Tondela	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Porto B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
03.02.23	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1
05.03.22	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	0:4
10.10.21	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	4:0

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