Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4
	1.68	3.6	4.2
	1.63	4	4.25
	1.75	4.2	4.44
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.95	4.4
	1.68	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	4.24 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
54.4%

Draw
24%

Benfica B
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela da Amadora's performance.

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).

Estrela is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estrela to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
03.02.23	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWWT
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.23	Benfica B - Tondela	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Benfica B - Porto B	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Farense - Benfica B	5:2 ✺
08.01.23	Benfica B - Feirense	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.22	Benfica B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2
09.04.22	Benfica B - Estrela da Amadora	0:0
29.11.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	3:6

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