The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Académico de Viseu 43.4%
Draw 26.2%
Nacional 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
24.5%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
25.8%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Académico de Viseu's form might have worsened.
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Académico de Viseu - Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 28. Bandarra M. 4. Almeida A. (C) 22. Nduwarugira C. 66. Milioransa I. 8. Kone S. 16. Manconi 7. Yuri Araujo 10. Quizera F. 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 40. Ulisses 4. Paulo Vitor 55. Sousa A. 10. Esteves L. 8. Danilovic V. 77. Gustavo 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
77. Gomes H. 12. Ikoba E. 30. Labila D. 88. Marquinho 51. Momo Mbaye (G) 20. Petkov S. 3. Pinto J. 55. Silva T. 21. Simonsen J.
99. Dudu 33. Goncalves C. 5. Jose Gomes 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 27. Raimar 12. Vinicius Machado (G)
Coaches
Martins V.
Margarido T.
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Viseu won 1.
Viseu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Viseu will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Viseu won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.
Portugal
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Gril D. (G) 
Bandarra M. 
Nduwarugira C. 
Milioransa I. 
Kone S. 
Manconi 
Ott G. 
Danilovic V. 
Witi 
Ramirez J. 
Ikoba E. 
Momo Mbaye (G) 
Petkov S. 
Simonsen J. 
Marakis S. 
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