Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Académico de Viseu		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.8	2.85	2.49
	3.08	3.01	2.63
	2.97	2.94	2.58	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.91	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.78)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	2.52 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
32.1%

Draw
31.3%

Tondela
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Académico de Viseu - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 2. Michelis N. 4. Almeida A. (C) 3. Pinto J. 77. Paulinho 8. Kone S. 27. Silva L. 66. Milioransa I. 34. Marinelli A. 9. Almeida D. 24. Thomas N.	31. Bernardo (G) 6. Ceitil A. 34. Alves R. (C) 5. Afonso J. 48. Manso T. 97. Cicero 2. Bebeto 18. Talocha 70. Moudjatovic M. 17. Roberto 11. Costinha
Substitutes
33. Andre Clovis 28. Bandarra M. 55. Gomes H. 75. Gril D. (G) 18. Kahraman C. 16. Mane S. 88. Marquinho 14. Messeguem S. 7. Yuri Araujo	26. Cunha N. 60. Maviram E. 9. Miro 21. Pedro Maranhao 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G) 3. Tavares D. 8. Tavares H. 7. Xavier
Coaches
Vieira S.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Marinelli A. ⚽,
29', Silva L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Afonso J. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
60', Thomas N. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
60', Marinelli A. ↓, Yuri Araujo ↑,
60', Tavares H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Pedro Maranhao ⚽, Manso T. (A),
66', Moudjatovic M. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
67', Milioransa I. 🟨,
70', Pinto J. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
71', Almeida D. ↓, Andre Clovis ↑,
73', Ceitil A. 🟨,
74', Kone S. ↓, Kahraman C. ↑,
80', Manso T. 🟨,
85', Costinha ↓, Xavier ↑,
85', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
87', Kahraman C. 🟨,
90+5', Milioransa I. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viseu won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Viseu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Viseu won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Alverca	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ✺
24.01.25	Académico de Viseu - Feirense	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Felgueiras - Tondela	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Tondela - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Porto B - Tondela	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Tondela - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.09.24	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	4:1
30.01.24	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	1:1
19.08.23	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	2:2
17.02.23	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.22	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	4:1
Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.22	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	2:2
Club Friendly
17.07.15	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	0:0

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