Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Felgueiras		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.52	3.16	3.08
	2.46	3.09	3	Watch
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.44	3.18	2.94	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.59)	2.99 ↓ (3.17)	2.97 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
38.3%

Draw
30.7%

Tondela
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Felgueiras - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ceitil A. 🟨,
35', Tavares H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ceitil A. ↓, Cascavel ↑,
46', Costinha ↓, Cicero ↑,
54', Silva A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Moreira V. (Pen),
64', Santos J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
70', Xavier ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
70', Tavares H. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
75', Ayiah E. ↓, Banguera E. ↑,
78', Talocha ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
84', Berna ↓, Pereira G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UC Irvine won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

UC Irvine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches UC Irvine won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 681:602 (average 61.9:54.7).

Including matches at home between the teams UC Irvine won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 322:283 (average 64.4:56.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.25	Feirense - Felgueiras	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Felgueiras - Alverca	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Portimonense - Felgueiras	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Felgueiras - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.25	Tondela - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Porto B - Tondela	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Tondela - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Tondela - Leiria	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.24	Tondela - Felgueiras	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Felgueiras - Tondela	0:1

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