Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Complejo Deportivo Socialista (Carabobo)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Tigre

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.87
	3.9	3.5	1.92
	4.35	3.57	1.86
	4.2	3.2	1.83
	4.3	3.48	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.17)	3.41 ↑ (3.16)	1.86 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
22.2%

Draw
27.5%

Tigre
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Puerto Cabello could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tigre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	São Paulo - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Angostura - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLWT
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	1:1 ✺
25.04.23	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Deportes Tolima - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Tigre	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Tigre - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTW

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