Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Quiroz L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Deportes Tolima		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.28	3.2	3.2
	2.29	3.08	3.52
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.21	3.25	3.34	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.94)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	3.31 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
42%

Draw
29.7%

Tigre
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Deportes Tolima - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Tigre will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportes Tolima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
16.04.23	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
13.04.23	Envigado - Deportes Tolima	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
01.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Tigre	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Tigre - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Godoy Cruz - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Tigre - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Tigre - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLW

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