Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Sede Deportiva Lino Alonso (Maracaibo)

Referee: Bracamonte O. (Ven)


	Zulia		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.58	2.7	2.51
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.86	2.86	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.64)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
33.5%

Draw
31.2%

Caracas
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

28.8%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulia's performance.

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zulia - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 0.

Recent matches Zulia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caracas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zulia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caracas have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Zulia won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.05.22	Zulia - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2 ✺
06.05.22	Carabobo - Zulia	1:0 ✺
28.04.22	Zulia - Zamora	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Mineros de Guayana - Zulia	0:3 ✺
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWT
- Caracas FC
Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Caracas - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.22	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.22	Caracas - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.22	Caracas - Monagas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
16.02.20	Caracas - Zulia	4:0
01.09.19	Caracas - Zulia	1:2
03.06.19	Caracas - Zulia	1:2
25.05.19	Zulia - Caracas	3:2
10.03.19	Zulia - Caracas	0:0
17.10.18	Zulia - Caracas	2:3
06.05.18	Caracas - Zulia	3:1

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