Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Sede Deportiva Lino Alonso (Maracaibo)

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)


	Zulia		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.38	2.95	2.75
	2.31	3.15	2.8
	2.3	2.88	3.03
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.35	3.4	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)	3.1 (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
39.1%

Draw
29.3%

Academia Puerto Cabello
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	45%	25%

Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zulia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zulia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.05.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Zulia	0:2 ✺
21.05.22	Zulia - Caracas	1:0 ✺
15.05.22	Zulia - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2 ✺
06.05.22	Carabobo - Zulia	1:0 ✺
28.04.22	Zulia - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLL
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
29.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
20.05.22	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
14.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
29.04.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
30.10.19	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1
23.10.19	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	2:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.08.19	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	3:3
17.02.19	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1
28.10.18	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1
18.05.18	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	0:0

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