Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Carabobo		Zulia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.72	3.3	3.95
	1.79	3.15	4.3
	1.71	3.38	4.33
	1.83	3	4.6
	1.77	3.26	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	4.36 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabobo
51%

Draw
28.2%

Zulia
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

29.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Zulia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Carabobo - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Zulia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 0.

Carabobo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Zulia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carabobo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carabobo is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Carabobo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:3 ✺
21.04.22	Carabobo - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Aragua - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	3:1 ✺
01.04.22	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTWT
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.22	Zulia - Zamora	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Mineros de Guayana - Zulia	0:3 ✺
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2 ✺
08.04.22	Monagas - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
08.03.20	Zulia - Carabobo	2:1
06.10.19	Zulia - Carabobo	1:2
12.04.19	Carabobo - Zulia	3:1
Copa Venezuela
03.10.18	Carabobo - Zulia	2:2
09.09.18	Zulia - Carabobo	1:1
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.08.18	Zulia - Carabobo	2:1
22.02.18	Carabobo - Zulia	3:2

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