Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Lusitânia		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.25	3.05
	2.12	3.29	3.7
	2	3.3	3.41
	2.11	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.98)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	3.26 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
44.1%

Draw
27.9%

Académica Coimbra
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Costa J. (G) 7. Borges M. 19. Fortes F. 17. Goncalves R. 3. Lytvyn D. 6. Martins H. 28. Mesquita T. 5. Nandinho 96. Nem Jefferson 10. Rosado D. (C) 14. Valente M.	98. Alves C. (G) 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 16. Gomes V. 17. Henrique L. 9. Perea J. 79. Silva J. 18. Stitch (C) 42. Tavares A. 19. Veiga T. 22. Xico
Substitutes
8. Abreu E. 66. Bamba Y. 12. Cerveira T. 77. Goba 23. Marco (G) 18. Pereira D. 21. Pereira M. 83. Ribeiro S. 44. Santos D.	75. Costa D. 4. Obiora N. 20. Resende J. 30. Rodrigues M. 8. Salvador A. 91. Santos B. (G) 77. Seco H. 21. Victor J. 12. Vitinha

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).

Lusitânia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Académica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Lusitânia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Anadia - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Lusitânia - Canelas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTTW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTLW

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