Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.81	3.35	4
	1.86	3.6	4.54
	1.78	3.3	4
	1.84	3.44	4.15
	1.8	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
50.8%

Draw
26.5%

Mafra
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	22.2%	5.6%

Estrela da Amadora - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 14).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.23	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leixões - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Tondela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTT
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Tondela - Mafra	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Porto B - Mafra	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Mafra - Feirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2
18.01.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2
08.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	0:2

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