Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	3.6	3.3	1.87
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.91	3.61	1.99
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.74	3.58	1.89
	3.4	3.35	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
24.8%

Draw
27%

Estrela da Amadora
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.3%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	3.4%	89.7%

Trofense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: Estrela da Amadora will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation: )).

Recent matches Trofense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrela is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
07.05.23	Torreense - Trofense	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Trofense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Benfica B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Trofense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Porto B - Trofense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
28.04.23	Oliveirense - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - BSAD	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
23.01.22	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:0
13.08.21	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.06.21	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	0:0

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