Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Moncarapachense		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	3.17	3.17	2.42
	3	3.18	2.28	Watch
	3	3.2	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	2.28 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
30.5%

Draw
29.1%

Académica Coimbra
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Académica Coimbra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Moncarapachense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Académica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moncarapachense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Académica have a series of home games.

Académica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
08.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Moncarapachense	0:0
29.10.22	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	1:0

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