Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 8

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)


	Académica Coimbra		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.05	2.25
	2.7	3.1	2.39
	2.81	3.26	2.62
	2.75	3.08	2.44	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.72)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	2.39 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
32.6%

Draw
29.2%

Setúbal
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Académica Coimbra's performance.

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Setúbal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Académica won 0.

Académica has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Setúbal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Setúbal have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Setúbal to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Académica won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
29.10.22	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:4 ✺
08.10.22	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Académica Coimbra - Tondela	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.22	Académica Coimbra - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
29.10.22	Setúbal - Alverca	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Setúbal - Vilar de Perdizes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.01.16	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	2:1
24.08.15	Académica Coimbra - Setúbal	0:4
08.02.15	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	0:0
29.08.14	Académica Coimbra - Setúbal	1:1
11.04.14	Académica Coimbra - Setúbal	1:1
09.12.13	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	1:0
05.05.13	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	0:1

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