The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 38.3%
Draw 28%
Arouca 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
27.5%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
28.2%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
35.7%
42.9%
Estoril Praia - Arouca Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Arouca will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 17% – 68.8%.
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Ferro 15. Sierra I. 3. Medrano F. 5. Tsoungui A. 10. Holsgrove J. 7. Lacximicant A. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 98. Garcia F. 14. Begraoui Y.
12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 5. Popovic B. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 10. Gozalbez P. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
35. Amissah S. 42. Arnolin J. 90. Brito T. 9. Camblan A. 22. Carvalho P. 80. Gomes L. 99. Guitane R. 19. Parente T. 17. Peixinho 43. Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 16. Turk M. (G)
27. Balde M. 37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 1. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Matos V.
Seabra V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
45', Ferro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsoungui A. ↓, Arnolin J. ↑,
46', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
71', Arnolin J. 🟨,
72', Carvalho J. 🟨,
75', Garcia F. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
75', Gozalbez P. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
75', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
78', Lacximicant A. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
79', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
85', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
85', Holsgrove J. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
86', Mansilla B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2.
Estoril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arouca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Estoril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Estoril: Sintes X.
(Injury)
There will not play in Arouca: Puche
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
Austria
Germany
Greece
Usa
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Robles J. (G) 
Ferro 
Tsoungui A. 
Holsgrove J. 
Garcia F. 
Begraoui Y. 
De Arruabarrena I. (G) 
Popovic B. 
Lebedenko O. 
van Ee E. 
Fukui T. 
Djouahra N. 
Amissah S. 
Guitane R. 
Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 
Turk M. (G) 
Park S. 
Vinarcik J. (G) 
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