The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 55.6%
Draw 24.7%
Casa Pia 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
26%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
24.1%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Estoril Praia - Casa Pia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 15. Sierra I. 6. Sintes X. 21. Jurisic R. 10. Holsgrove J. 44. Robin M. 11. Omerovic N. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 9. Camblan A. 14. Begraoui Y.
95. Mandic I. (G) 18. Geraldes A. (C) 3. Kaly 43. Sousa D. 75. Rosas P. 16. Clua S. 80. Ofori L. 11. Salah M. 70. Rego J. 98. JP 9. Araujo H.
Substitutes
35. Amissah S. 42. Arnolin J. 90. Brito T. 22. Carvalho P. 99. Guitane R. 7. Lacximicant A. 3. Medrano F. 19. Parente T. 17. Peixinho 43. Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 5. Tsoungui A. 16. Turk M. (G)
90. Cassiano 59. Dafe A. 44. Felipe Silva 8. Gabi 4. Goulart J. 20. Jatta A. 17. Maurin E. 77. Pauwels B. 24. Perez S. 19. Prieto K. 10. Rochinha 1. Sequeira P. (G)
Coaches
Matos V.
Santana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Araujo H. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Sierra I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Araujo H. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
46', Camblan A. ↓, Arnolin J. ↑,
60', Robin M. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
60', Omerovic N. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
62', Sousa D. 🟨,
65', Salah M. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
65', JP ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
72', 1 - 1, Clua S. ⚽, Ofori L. (A),
74', Clua S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
80', Sintes X. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
80', Carvalho J. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
82', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
85', Arnolin J. 🟨,
87', Rego J. ↓, Dafe A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Pauwels B. ⚽, Perez S. (A),
90+5', Jatta A. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th in the Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18th in the Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.
Both teams are enduring a tough losing streak heading into this clash.
Estoril may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Estoril is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Estoril: Ferro
(Red Card)
Sintes X.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Estoril: Andreou S.
(Inactive)
Garcia F.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Casa Pia: Gomes A.
(Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Estoril has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 21:9 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estoril against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.7 per game).
Watch
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Robles J. (G) 
Jurisic R. 
Holsgrove J. 
Robin M. 
Omerovic N. 
Carvalho J. (C) 
Begraoui Y. 
Kaly 
Sousa D. 
Ofori L. 
Salah M. 
Amissah S. 
Guitane R. 
Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 
Turk M. (G) 
Jatta A. 
Perez S. 
Prieto K. 
Sequeira P. (G) 
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