Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Accrington Stanley		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25
				Watch
	1.49	4.25	5.4
	1.52	4.65	5.2
	2.42	3.22	2.84	Watch
	1.54	4.4	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)	4.2 ↓ (4.33)	4.94 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
57.4%

Draw
23%

Leeds United U21
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

20.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Leeds United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Accrington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Leeds U21 (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Leeds U21 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 25%). Leeds U21 (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rogerson J. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 25. Smith J. 15. Pye L. 22. Martin D. 16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 10. Henderson A. 39. Woods J. 18. Caton C.	48. Mahady R. (G) 52. Douglas C. 53. Lopata-White R. 62. Enahoro L. 72. Firth W. 78. Pickles O. 51. Cresswell A. (C) 79. Render J. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 55. McDonald J. 45. Gray H.
Substitutes
2. Love D. 8. Madden P. 17. Matthews D. 11. Sinclair I. 23. Walton T. 13. Wright O. (G)	57. Bird C. 70. Brockie D. 89. Mills C. 56. Ombang D. (G) 59. Pirie L. 93. White L. 61. Wilson M.
Coaches
Doolan J.	Gardner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gray H. ⚽,
40', Lopata-White R. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Brown C. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Woods J. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Pickles O. (Own goal),
78', Render J. ↓, Bird C. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Bauress J. ⚽,
82', Chadwick-Chaplin R. ↓, Brockie D. ↑,
83', McDonald J. ↓, Wilson M. ↑,
85', Bauress J. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
86', O'Brien C. ↓, Love D. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Gray H. ⚽, Pickles O. (A),
90+3', Pickles O. ↓, Mills C. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leeds U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Accrington is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.

Including home match between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
08.11.25	Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
28.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTLW
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
08.11.25	Leeds United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Leeds United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Halifax Town - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
15.10.25	Leeds United U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.09.20	Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21	7:0

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