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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 46.4%
Draw 26.9%
Accrington Stanley 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.6%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
26.4%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fleetwood Town will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 32. Hughes K. 14. McCann L. 20. Neal H. 6. Bonds E. (C) 16. Ennis E. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 7. Graydon R. 9. Davies W.
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 20. Brown C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 6. Coyle L. 30. Heath I. 11. Sinclair I. 10. Henderson A. 8. Madden P.
Substitutes
17. Evans C. 1. Harrington D. (G) 10. Helm M. 3. Medley Z. 23. Morrison G. 11. Norwood J. 34. Roberts L.
16. Bauress J. 18. Caton C. 4. Grant C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 3. Sass F. 39. Woods J.
Coaches
Wild P.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Brown C. (A),
22', Davies W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', McCann L. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽,
65', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
65', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
67', Henderson A. 🟨,
68', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
73', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
74', O'Brien C. 🟨,
81', Coyle L. 🟨,
83', Matthews D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
84', Coyle L. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
84', Sinclair I. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
86', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Accrington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Fleetwood Town - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Lynch J. (G) 
McCann L. 
Bonds E. (C) 
Graydon R. 
Evans C. 
Morrison G. 
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