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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 44.8%
Draw 31.6%
Peterborough United 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
26.8%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
27.5%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
5.3%
94.7%
Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 84.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 3. Sass F. 20. Brown C. 22. Martin D. 28. Conneely S. (C) 15. Pye L. 10. Henderson A. 9. Mooney K. 19. Popoola A.
21. Reyes V. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 26. Okagbue D. 5. Wallin O. (C) 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 7. Lolos K. 8. Khela B. 17. Lisbie K. 19. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
18. Caton C. 6. Coyle L. 2. Love D. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 11. Sinclair I. 31. Tunstall F. 39. Woods J.
35. Andrews J. 18. Hayes C. 32. Mendonca L. 15. Nevett G. 10. Odoh A. 36. Shofowoke B. 49. Smith B. (G)
Coaches
Doolan J.
Ferguson D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Henderson A. ⚽,
21', Pye L. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Mooney K. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
31', Martin D. 🟨,
36', Henderson A. 🟨,
41', Henderson A. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
45', Lolos K. 🟨,
45+1', Brown C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lolos K. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
56', Lisbie K. 🟨,
59', Pye L. ↓, Love D. ↑,
59', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
60', Martin D. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
63', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
66', Love D. 🟨,
70', Dornelly J. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
78', Brown C. ↓, Tunstall F. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
90+2', Sass F. 🟨,
90+5', Khela B. ↓, Shofowoke B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Peterborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
Peterborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Wright O. (G) 
Conneely S. (C) 
Reyes V. (G) 
Wallin O. (C) 
Lolos K. 
Caton C. 
Coyle L. 
Love D. 
Mendonca L. 
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