Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.62	3.55
	2.43	2.6	3.46
	2.4	2.59	3.53	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.25
	2.41	2.82	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.93)	2.63 ↓ (2.95)	3.43 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
38.7%

Draw
34.7%

Ethio Electric
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

31.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-5%)

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Negele Arsi Ketema (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Hussien H. ⚽,
29', Eboussi P. 🟥,
37', 0 - 2, Hussien H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Negele Arsi Ketema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
09.03.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTW
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethio Electric	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Ethio Electric - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Ethio Electric - Sidama Coffee	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.11.25	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0

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