The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adanaspor 26.7%
Draw 28%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.3%
26.6%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
26.6%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Aslan N. (G) 97. Durmaz E. 22. Kurucuk F. 5. Hatipoglu H. 99. Matur O. 12. Donkor I. 6. Cihan M. 9. Candeias D. 10. Cekici E. 20. Ciss A. 16. Cikalleshi S.
99. Beklevic F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 22. Tintis E. 14. Doh M. 20. Mert M. 7. Camacho J. 11. Johnson D. 70. Serginho 9. Wesley Moraes
Substitutes
23. Alpsoy H. 17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 87. Celikay K. (G) 11. Cinar O. 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 21. Ivan A. 77. Koc S.
1. Bilgin E. (G) 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 5. Demirol A. 10. Dovedan N. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 72. Kalayci B. 33. Kurukalip C. 17. Sivri A.
Coaches
Keles H.
Ak O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Cekici E. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Djilobodji P. ⚽, Wesley Moraes (A),
45+2', Durmaz E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Ivan A. ↑,
71', Tintis E. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Ivan A. ⚽, Cihan M. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Doh M. ⚽,
80', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
83', Cekici E. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
83', Candeias D. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
83', Johnson D. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
83', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
88', Mert M. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
90+6', Ciss A. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
90+11', Serginho ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
90+12', Alpsoy H. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Recent matches Adanaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Karagümrük is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Karagümrük will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0