Match Info

A-League - Round 1

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	Adelaide United		Sydney

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.42
	2.72	3.85	2.52
	2.45	3.66	2.65	Watch
	2.81	3.66	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)	3.66 (3.66)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
35.8%

Draw
25.9%

Sydney
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Adelaide United - Sydney Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Sydney will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sydney (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 20. Pierias D. 3. Vriends B. 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 12. Yull J. 23. Duzel L. 55. Alagich E. 19. Dukuly Y. 9. Jovanovic L. 11. Goodwin C. (C)	12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 23. Grant R. (C) 32. Tisserand M. 5. Grant A. 16. King J. 10. Lolley J. 36. Youlley R. 24. Okon-Engstler P. 35. Toure A. 9. Campuzano V. 7. Quispe Cordova P. A.
Substitutes
40. Cox E. (G) 58. Crawford H. 79. Kasumovic F. 36. Madanha P. 10. Muniz J. 54. O'Neil B. 62. Talladira F.	4. Courtney-Perkins J. 1. Hoefsloot G. (G) 8. Kamijo W. 41. Popovic A. 20. Quintal T. 11. Walatee A. 13. Wood P.
Coaches
Andrioli A.	Talay U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Toure A. 🟨,
41', Grant A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Kitto R. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
60', Toure A. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Alagich E. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
71', Dukuly Y. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
76', Yull J. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
76', Jovanovic L. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
80', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
87', Youlley R. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
88', Tisserand M. ↓, Popovic A. ↑,
88', King J. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
89', Goodwin C. ↓, Talladira F. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Lolley J. ⚽, Quintal T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Sydney: Garuccio B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Walatee A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Wood P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:46. (average 1.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.7:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Adelaide United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United
Australian Cup
30.07.25	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League
09.05.25	Western United - Adelaide United	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
22.04.25	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTW
- Sydney FC
Australian Cup
23.08.25	Sydney - Auckland FC	1:2 penalties ✺
10.08.25	Sydney United - Sydney	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Sydney - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League
03.05.25	Melbourne City - Sydney	5:1 ✺
27.04.25	Western United - Sydney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
05.04.25	Adelaide United - Sydney	2:3
01.02.25	Sydney - Adelaide United	4:1
20.12.24	Adelaide United - Sydney	3:3
17.02.24	Sydney - Adelaide United	2:1
13.01.24	Adelaide United - Sydney	4:3
11.11.23	Adelaide United - Sydney	1:5
07.04.23	Adelaide United - Sydney	1:1

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