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Current Win Probability
Western United 47.2%
Draw 24.5%
Adelaide United 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
22.4%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
22.1%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
0%
22.7%
Western United - Adelaide United Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Adelaide will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 59.8% โ 94.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
AH +0.5 - Adelaide (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Western United (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western United will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Western United (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Adelaide (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 6. Imai T. 4. Donachie J. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. (C) 10. Grimaldi M. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 77. Danzaki R. 24. Ruhs M. 19. Botic N.
13. Vartuli M. (G) 20. Pierias D. 3. Vriends B. 51. Kikianis P. 21. Lopez J. 8. Sanchez I. 55. Alagich E. 10. Clough Z. 6. Mauk S. 7. Kitto R. (C) 9. Jovanovic L.
Substitutes
9. Ibusuki H. 44. Lauton J. 5. Lavale O. 7. Najjarine R. 13. Russell T. 70. Vonja M. (G) 20. Walatee A.
14. Barnett J. 58. Crawford H. 1. Delianov J. (G) 19. Dukuly Y. 4. Elsey J. 17. Folami B. 12. Yull J.
Coaches
Aloisi J.
Veart C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
14', Donachie J. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
20', 1 - 1, Vriends B. (Own goal),
31', 2 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
34', Leonard D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 3 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
63', Mauk S. 🟨,
66', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
66', Ruhs M. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
70', Vriends B. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
70', Lopez J. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
73', Danzaki R. 🟨,
77', Botic N. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
77', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Mauk S. ⚽, Pierias D. (A),
79', Clough Z. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
79', Alagich E. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
86', Kikianis P. 🟨,
88', Jovanovic L. ↓, Elsey J. ↑,
89', Ibusuki H. 🟨,
90+3', Najjarine R. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Western United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Western United is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Western United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Western United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).
Australia
Germany
Hong-kong
India
New-zealand
South-korea
Switzerland
United-kingdom
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Sutton M. (G) 
Imai T. 
Vriends B. 
Lopez J. 
Alagich E. 
Clough Z. 
