Match Info

A-League - Round 28

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne)

Referee: King A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Sydney

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.9	2.63	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.6
	2.4	3.75	2.65
	2.42	4	2.7
	2.49	3.92	2.55	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.6
	2.39	3.92	2.64	Watch
	2.35	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.91 ↓ (4.01)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
39.8%

Draw
24.2%

Sydney
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

23.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Western United - Sydney Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 6. Imai T. 4. Donachie J. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. 10. Grimaldi M. 32. Thurgate A. 23. Bozinovski R. 77. Danzaki R. 19. Botic N. 24. Ruhs M.	12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 41. Popovic A. 16. King J. 4. Courtney-Perkins J. 23. Grant R. 7. Segecic A. 17. Caceres A. 24. Kamijo W. 10. Lolley J. 11. Douglas Costa 25. Kucharski J.
Substitutes
44. Lauton J. 5. Lavale O. 7. Najjarine R. 29. Shamoon C. A. 37. Vickery L. 70. Vonja M. (G) 20. Walatee A.	37. Kennedy W. 29. Lacey J. 36. Macallister M. 8. Ouahim A. 20. Quintal T. 1. Redmayne A. (G) 42. Shaw K.
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Talay U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Grimaldi M. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
28', Garuccio B. 🟨,
45+1', Danzaki R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Kucharski J. ↓, Ouahim A. ↑,
61', Lolley J. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
71', Ruhs M. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
76', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
76', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
76', Imai T. ↓, Shamoon C. A. ↑,
78', Popovic A. 🟨,
82', King J. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
87', Kamijo W. 🟨,
87', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
88', Shaw K. 🟨,
90+3', Lauton J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 1.

Recent matches Western United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sydney is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Western United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Western United: Walatee A. (Concussion)

There will not play in Sydney: Grant A. (Injury) Gurd A. (Collarbone injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Western United won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:28 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United
Australian A-League
17.04.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Western United - Perth Glory	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Western United	2:6 ✺
08.03.25	Western United - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW
- Sydney FC
Australian A-League
20.04.25	Sydney - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.04.25	Sydney - Lion City Sailors	1:0 ✺
Australian A-League
12.04.25	Sydney - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
09.04.25	Lion City Sailors - Sydney	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
05.04.25	Adelaide United - Sydney	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
14.12.24	Sydney - Western United	3:4
03.02.24	Western United - Sydney	2:2
23.12.23	Sydney - Western United	4:2
Australian Cup
17.09.23	Sydney - Western United	3:0
Australian A-League
01.04.23	Sydney - Western United	3:3
21.01.23	Western United - Sydney	1:0
16.10.22	Western United - Sydney	1:3

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