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Current Win Probability
Adelaide United 55.8%
Draw 22%
Wellington Phoenix 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
24.9%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
24.5%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.8%
3.4%
13.8%
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Adelaide (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - draw (1.21) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Adelaide United will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 3. Vriends B. (C) 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 19. Dukuly Y. 55. Alagich E. 44. White R. 12. Yull J. 10. Muniz J. 9. Jovanovic L.
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 27. Sheridan M. 4. James M. 28. Tuiloma B. 15. Hughes I. 8. Retre P. 3. Piper C. 20. Najjarine R. 25. Nagasawa K. (C) 11. Armiento C. 7. Eze I.
Substitutes
42. Ayoubi A. 35. Burkitt B. 40. Cox E. (G) 23. Duzel L. 17. Folami B. 65. Garuccio J. 52. Phillis S.
29. Brooke-Smith L. 12. Edwards D. 16. Kartum S. 30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 18. Kelly-Heald L. 10. Mileusnic N. 6. Payne T.
Coaches
Andrioli A.
Greenacre C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, James M. ⚽, Piper C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
71', Sheridan M. ↓, Payne T. ↑,
71', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
78', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
78', Armiento C. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
81', Barnett J. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
83', Oluwayemi J. 🟨,
83', Piper C. 🟨,
88', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
90+1', Muniz J. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
Recent performances by Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wellington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.
In this match, Adelaide is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Hip Injury)
Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
Riak A.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Wellington: Payne T.
(Inactive)
Rufer A.
(Yellow Cards)
Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
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Smits J. (G) 
Barnett J. 
Muniz J. 
Oluwayemi J. (G) 
Sheridan M. 
James M. 
Najjarine R. 
Nagasawa K. (C) 
Kartum S. 
Andrioli A. 
Greenacre C. 
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