Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Francavilla		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.45	2.42
	2.46	3.58	2.46	Watch
	2.46	3.34	2.46
	2.45	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)	3.47 ↓ (3.48)	2.45 (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francavilla
36.9%

Draw
26.1%

Sarnese
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Francavilla - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Addessi S. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, La Monica G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
76', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarnese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Francavilla has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Acerrana - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLTW
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sarnese - Acerrana	6:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nola - Sarnese	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sarnese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
03.03.19	Sarnese - Francavilla	1:0
11.11.18	Francavilla - Sarnese	0:0
17.12.17	Sarnese - Francavilla	3:2

Francavilla - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide