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Current Win Probability
Afragolese 42.6%
Draw 28.2%
Virtus Francavilla 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
28.6%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
29.9%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Afragolese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Montaperto G. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Porzio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Afragolese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Afragolese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Afragolese could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Watch
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