Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Manauara

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4
	2.15	2.92	3.3
	2.23	2.96	3.33
	2.03	2.65	4.76	Watch
	2.16	2.96	3.35
	1.9	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.7)	2.97 ↓ (3.33)	3.77 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
44.7%

Draw
30.9%

Manauara
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.3%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.

Manauara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manauara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manauara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Manauara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Charles 🟥,
80', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

ASA is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Manauara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ASA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jequié - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT
- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Manauara - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Manauara	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Independência - Manauara	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Manauara - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
16.08.25	Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Manauara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide